Thanks again to Thunder for providing today’s Talas update:
The track has jumped around a little in the last 24 hours, firstly west and now has migrated eastward again a little, models having problem pin pointing what an upper level trough will do in regards to the steering ridge, that is the steering ridge is like a wall of high pressure air, the trough is an elongated area of low pressure, the trough will make a hole in the wall through which the system can pass- weaker trough more western crossing, stronger trough more eastern crossing). JTWC current forecast map about the same as 24 hours ago(now over Kinki instead of Tokai-a little more westerly) the intensity forecast has changed a little too but nothing too major to warant discussion. As always check our weather page for meteorology links, again the TSR wind field forecast shows the entirety of the situation ( http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com ) and the JMA sea wave forecast for tommorow netherlone Friday doesn’t look great either ( http://www.data.kishou.go.jp )
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