Japan Earthquake | Page 1712

  • Greenpeace Detected Cobalt-60 and High Radiation "Hot Spots" in Fukushima City ex-skf.blogspot.com
    by Bobby1 6/21/2011 1:35:01 PM

  • 6.46 uSv/hr in playground in Kashiwa near Tokyo enenews.com That is Fukushima City radiation levels.
    by Bobby1 6/21/2011 1:43:47 PM

  • @bo One thing the media does truly terribly at is giving any kind of gauge of the mood of the... what was it?... "ordinary people", anywhere in the world, really. It's mostly outside their purview, and apparently even their ability to empathize enough to care. Not being Japanese, I can't put it into any kind of context of my own.

    How is it in Japan? I know there must be a serious "seethe level" building up in the people of Japan (particularly parents) toward both TEPCO and GoJ. How does that release in Japan? I can't recall ever seeing it happen. In other words, if the tension snaps, what form would that take?
    by radioguy 6/21/2011 1:48:02 PM

  • I have Edano's calculations of Fukushima vs. Chernobyl on the group site, it is not currently displaying on the home page. Let me know if I have something incorrect or need to add more caveats to it. houseoffoust.com
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 1:48:40 PM

  • @radioguy Just the person I was looking for. How do I make a post show up on the home page without making it "latest news" as the only category? I have not needed to mess with that yet and want to force Edano's post on the front page but also put it in other categories.
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 1:49:42 PM

  • I mean, the media loves scenes of mass demonstrations, particularly if they can find angry people shaking AK's, but you rarely heard from the "ordinary people".
    by radioguy 6/21/2011 1:49:59 PM

  • @radioguy Found this yesterday: between 75 and 80 percent of Japanese people are now in favor of scrapping all of Japan’s 54 reactors.
    www.csmonitor.com
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 1:50:40 PM

  • Incoming Gchat.
    by radioguy 6/21/2011 1:51:22 PM

  • @radioguy yes, it is very unprecedented here. But we are beginning to see it in the demands and actions of the parents, in Fukushima and also in Tokyo. I think that the conflict of roles, good citizen and good parent, are enabling this to be. I think most people don't trust the government or TEPCO anymore, and that in itself is very radical for Japan.
    by bo 6/21/2011 1:51:36 PM

  • @lillymunster Wow on Edano's report. The TORCH report on Chernobyl estimated the amount of I-131 and Cs-137 as 2,110,000 TBq. This was higher than most other estimates. This would make Fukushima = 5 Chernobyls so far.
    by Bobby1 6/21/2011 1:57:26 PM

  • @Bobby1 But not news. Uneffinbelievable.
    by radioguy 6/21/2011 2:18:41 PM

  • @lillymunster I would add a note to that article pointing out the huge difference between the nature of the released isotopes at Chernobyl and the nature of the estimated potential emissions at Fukushima-Daiichi. The emissions at Fukushima-Daiichi are mostly short to medium half lived isotopes (between roughly 8 days for Caesium-137 to roughly 30 years for Iodine-131) whereas the emissions at Chernobyl were a mix of short, medium and long lived isotopes. The nature of the emitted isotopes dramatically determines the extent of the long term potential effects on the environment and people living near the affected areas. You should also emphasize that the estimates for Fukushima Daiichi refer to a worst case scenario where all the fuel would continue to perpetually release radioactive isotopes. Although that scenario is possible, it is unlikely (or at least we all hope so). The title about Fukushima might be a little misleading.

    @Bobby1 A quick search on the internet will show highly contradicting estimates about Chernobyl. There is no consensual estimate. The best we could do would be to calculate an average of all estimates but even that would be highly inaccurate due to the highly diverging estimates available. And it is also hard to estimate the reliability of the chosen sources. But we could then calculate the error margin comparing the average of all estimates to the figure further away from the average. The error margin is enormous.
    by Pedro Jesus 6/21/2011 2:18:56 PM

  • "by dramatically determines" I meant "dramatically affects"
    by Pedro Jesus 6/21/2011 2:20:11 PM

  • EURDEP steps up monitoring of post-Fukushima radiation ec.europa.eu
    "The collected data showed that the maximum air concentration values were reached at the end of March over Poland: Iodine-131 (particulates) concentration values went up to 5-6 mBq/m³ whereas Cesium-137 values stayed below 1 mBq/m³. In normal conditions, air concentration levels for these isotopes stay below 1 μBq/m³." So Poland was also 5x background in March, just like the US was.
    by Bobby1 6/21/2011 2:22:32 PM

  • @Pedro, what part of the title do you think needs changing?
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 2:28:46 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus You always take a very measured approach, and I appreciate that sensibility very much. I'm also a devil's advocate person kind of person, because it prevents a rush to judgement, but sometimes it becomes the "balanced news" kind of thing where one mentions the possibility to "balance" a story that really only has one accepted side. In this case though, TEPCO's own figures put it at 40% Chernobyl in the very first week. That would be after they knew they had melted down (about March 16th). I'd guess the odds are top-heavy on Fukushima being the worst ever.
    by radioguy 6/21/2011 2:29:40 PM

  • BACK... working but will be here back and forth
    by dean 6/21/2011 2:29:49 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus The TORCH estimate was high so the 5 Chernobyls is conservative. Lower estimates for Chernobyl would obtain a correspondingly higher multiplier for Fukushima.
    by Bobby1 6/21/2011 2:30:05 PM

  • Hi dean. Headed in the other direction. Off to bed. Mata.
    by bo 6/21/2011 2:30:42 PM

  • dream well.. @ bo
    by dean 6/21/2011 2:31:28 PM

  • @ Pedro. may I ask have you put a copy of what you've been working on up yet?
    by dean 6/21/2011 2:31:59 PM

  • I added to the caveats on the fuel fuku vs. chernobyl page to elaborate what the UK's worst case scenario was. I'm trying to make all of this very clear so some blogger doesn't just grab the numbers and start a "OMG fuku released all of this everyone freak out" type rumor
    . :-)
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 2:32:19 PM

  • Nite bo, BTW, thanks for the links on Eco energy in Japan, they have lead me to a huge amount of usable material online.
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 2:33:01 PM

  • @lilly cool. I'll tell my friend Joy, who assembled them.
    by bo 6/21/2011 2:36:20 PM

  • @dean I will put it on-line only after I finish the research. I'm still reading through all the information and taking notes. I haven't written anything worth presenting. I should be able to post my findings towards the end of the week.
    by Pedro Jesus 6/21/2011 2:41:18 PM

  • @all There's a category at SimplyInfo called Peer Review that appears only one place on the menu, under Community, and posts nowhere else. When you get something to where you want eyes-on, post it in there for access.
    by radioguy 6/21/2011 2:41:24 PM

  • sounds excellent Pedro
    by dean 6/21/2011 2:42:39 PM

  • ty radioguy
    by dean 6/21/2011 2:43:22 PM

  • @lillymunster It is a bit confusing now. Hmmm... I'll try to think of a way of simplifying and clarifying the information.
    by Pedro Jesus 6/21/2011 2:45:27 PM

  • be back.. have to run for a bit..
    by dean 6/21/2011 2:45:49 PM

  • @lillymunster Question: if I edit the article will it still retain your original copy? I don't know how that platform works.
    by Pedro Jesus 6/21/2011 2:46:43 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus nope it will overwrite it. If your unsure about editing it let me know what you want put in where, otherwise go ahead and insert changes.
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 2:54:36 PM

  • @lillymunster Since I don't want to do something irreversible I'll post my suggestion here. It could appear as a side note, instead of a title.

    The estimates for Fukushima refer to a worst case scenario where all the fuel on site would burn out and be completely released to the surrounding environment via wind and water leaks. The current situation is still far from this estimated worst case scenario here presented.
    by Pedro Jesus 6/21/2011 2:55:49 PM

  • I moved the document to Peer Review section on the site. Use this link if you can't get to it with the old one. wp.me
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 2:56:10 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus added your text into the bold-italic caveat before it gets to the numbers.
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 2:57:51 PM

  • @lillymunster OK, I'm glad you liked it. =)
    by Pedro Jesus 6/21/2011 2:58:34 PM

  • LOL. I am starting to see how all these wild rumors about Ft. Calhoun are getting out. Put it this way, it isn't an accident the same rumor gets posted on multiple sites all on the same day then pushed out via social media, youtube etc... Egos, pure egos.
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 3:02:55 PM

  • @lillymunster Morning all! Quick question....have any numbers been released for the longer lived isotopes? I was under the impression tne data either hasn't been taken.(not likely) or hasn't been released. We know there was a release oF Plutonium and Strontium but I haven't seen any total estimates.
    by LM 6/21/2011 3:03:09 PM

  • @LM The UK worst case papers didn't have them. EPA in the US has data here for longer lived isotopes, some are on the web reports, others are in their raw database that you have to actually go to the database and dig. Bobby might know how to get a copy of the DB, I didn't save it.

    Greenpeace has been testing for certain ones beyond iodine/cesium and should be in their reports. So far METI/NISA/TEPCO have only released bits and pieces of data for other isotopes.
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 3:05:36 PM

  • @Lilly Thanks....then we definitely can't say it's not worse than Chernobyl based upon numbers not released. I sincerely question their inadvertence to release those numbers. That alone sparks rumors.
    by LM 6/21/2011 3:08:17 PM

  • @all, if anyone sees bits that need fixing or rewording in the radiation report (fuku vs chernobyl) please let me know in the next 2 hours. I will post it live on the site then and try to get it out and found. If we find something after that we can always update it. wp.me
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 3:08:30 PM

  • @LM the lack of that information is just brewing more distrust and it does make those numbers interim numbers as we don't have all the data. I personally find it very frustrating when information is held back as if we can't handle it.
    by lillymunster 6/21/2011 3:09:56 PM

  • @LM @lillymunster One thing, is that the Cs-134 releases having been running at 90% of Cs-137, whereas at Chernobyl it was around 50%. The health risk of 134 is about 2.5x that of 137 before it decays.
    by Bobby1 6/21/2011 3:13:03 PM

  • WHOI Pacific Expedition off-shore of Fukushima: daily update June 18

    "A preliminary accounting of the fruits of our labor so far includes: * More than 1,500 containers ranging from 50 milliliters to 20 liters filled from more than 300 logged sampling events, plus filters of samples as large as 1,000 liters * More than 3,000 liters of water samples weighing more than 3 metric tons that will be shipped to labs around the world after the ship returns to Hawaii * More than 100 tows resulting in about 50 pounds of biological samples [...]"

    "Over the coming months 16 labs in seven countries will analyze samples for a laundry list of isotopes that includes cesium-134 and -137; strontium-90; iodine-129; tritium; uranium-236; plutonium-239 and -240; rutherium-103 and -106; radium-223, -224, -228, and -226; and neptunium-237."

    "This will take time. Many of the instruments used to conduct these tests are extremely sensitive, but the amounts to be detected are extremely small—individual tests could require weeks and entire sample collections many months to complete. Some of the facilities required are highly specialized (one is deep underground to eliminate as much background interference as possible) and scheduling time on them will be a logistical challenge. A few of the methods used to measure trace amounts of some substances have also fallen out of practice as several of the isotopes themselves have faded from the environment after Chernobyl or the cessation of atmospheric nuclear weapons testing. Old techniques will have to be re-learned and some adapted to analyzing seawater or prepared biological samples."
    www.whoi.edu

    This report clearly shows how unreliable the information we've been getting on released isotopes from Fukushima-Daiichi can be. Most of them are actually rough estimates, not scientifically certificated readings.
    by Pedro Jesus 6/21/2011 3:13:14 PM

  • @Bobby1 : do you have a link to the TORCH rewport ?
    by Edano 6/21/2011 3:13:19 PM

Japan Earthquake | Page 1712

Who's Blogging
  • hudebnikhudebnik
  • albleealblee
  • UKValUKVal
  • Jonathan KeeblerJonathan Keebler
  • Oliver (ScribbleLive)Oliver (ScribbleLive)
  • kaykodhkaykodh
  • MarkfmMarkfm
  • AngieAngie
  • Mid ValleyMid Valley
  • Matt (ScribbleLive)Matt (ScribbleLive)
  • George GibbGeorge Gibb
  • elainekirkelainekirk
  • PKelleyPKelley
  • lillymunsterlillymunster
  • deandean
  • bobo
  • EdanoEdano
  • DebDeb
  • Pedro Jesus
  • IanGoddardIanGoddard