
OPINION: Broader impact of Fukushima: non-proliferation and disarmamentBy Bruno Tertrais
PARIS, Sept. 12, Kyodo
Much has been written about the consequences of the Fukushima accident on nuclear safety and security, but the catastrophe might also have a broader impact on nuclear non-proliferation, as well as perhaps on nuclear disarmament.
The coming downturn of civilian nuclear programs is good news for non-proliferation. Nuclear energy will cease, at least for a while, to be considered a symbol of ''prestige'' and ''modernity,'' and many aspiring nuclear countries are already revising or even canceling their plans.
This means that there will be less potentially dual-use activities in politically sensitive regions such as the Middle East. This also means that it will be harder for Iran to try to legitimize its allegedly peaceful nuclear program in the eyes of its own population and of those of global public opinion.
Also, Iran's only ''purely civilian'' installation, the Bushehr power plant, will come under closer scrutiny: it is located in a seismically active region and is a dubious mix of German and Russian technologies. In addition, Iran is not a party to the Nuclear Safety Convention. In sum, the legitimacy of the whole Iranian nuclear program will be put even more into question.
The possible impact of Fukushima on disarmament will be more complex and subtle. It is not very well-known that the 1986 Chernobyl catastrophe had a significant impact on Soviet thinking about the dangers of a nuclear war. It also played a role in Belarus' and Ukraine's later decisions to return to Russia the weapons they inherited from the Soviet Union.
Since March 11, some voices have mentioned Fukushima as an additional reason for moving towards nuclear disarmament. So far, such voices have been mostly found in Japan. Furthermore, this has not altered Tokyo's commitment to support the U.S. nuclear extended deterrent.
But Fukushima will certainly make the global perception of nuclear dangers even more acute. At the least, it will bolster the taboo that exists on the use of nuclear weapons. Thus, Fukushima will impact not only the future of the nuclear industry and electricity generation, but also the broader nuclear debate.
(Bruno Tertrais is senior research fellow at the Paris-based Foundation for Strategic Research and a member of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a British research institute.)
==Kyodo
english.kyodonews.jp by Edano 9/12/2011 10:49:39 AM


english.kyodonews.jp
Softbank chief Son's renewable energy foundation launched
TOKYO, Sept. 12, Kyodo english.kyodonews.jp

Int'l antinuclear conference to be held in Yokohama in JanuaryTOKYO, Sept. 12, Kyodo
english.kyodonews.jp by Edano 9/12/2011 10:52:19 AM

@Majj well, dumping radioactivity in the sea is not so easy. it's primarily illegal.
by Edano 9/12/2011 10:54:05 AM

Morning! (afternoon-evening)
by lillymunster 9/12/2011 11:41:58 AM

@lillymunster morning ft calhoun is baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad
www.nrc.govby elainekirk 9/12/2011 11:42:51 AM

@Luisa thanks for finding that on the whole body counters. That is a big deal, people are being denied access to medical care due to inaction.
by lillymunster 9/12/2011 11:43:22 AM

@elainekirk NRC cited two incidents before the flood as the reason. One was electrical, can't remember the other one. There is a 100+ page on Ft. Calhoun and their restart plan. I need to take the time to go read it. They are trying to restart asap.
by lillymunster 9/12/2011 11:46:38 AM

@Majj i haven't found anything more than Bandazhevsky's studies:
"The medical research of Prof. Y Bandazhevsky, a medical pathologist, Rector of the Medical Institute of Gomel, in Belarus, had to be presented by a colleague, Prof. Michel Fernex. Prof. Bandazhevsky was under house arrest. Belarus received the heaviest fall out from the Chernobyl disaster. After nine years of research in Chernobyl-contaminated territories, he had discovered that cesium 137 incorporated in food, leads to destruction of those vital organs where the cesium 137 concentrates at higher than average body levels. With his wife, a paediatric cardiologist, Bandazhevsky described what he called “cesium cardiomyopathy”, and which others say is a syndrome which will eventually be named after him. The cardiac damage becomes irreversible at a certain level and duration of the cesium intoxication. Sudden death may occur at any age, even in children. After publishing this finding, denouncing government non-intervention policy, and arguing against the lack of resources given to the medical investigation of the disaster, Bandazhevsky was arrested, tried and condemned to prison for eight years."
www.nirs.orgit is an interesting theory, but it's from 2001 and i would have expected more discussions about it, if it had substance.
by Edano 9/12/2011 11:48:11 AM

this is an article by Bandazhevsky's wife on cesium and children:
radionucleide.free.frby Edano 9/12/2011 11:51:37 AM

@Peter look here:
www2.fz-juelich.de it seems to me a freely accessible (body counter).
by Edano 9/12/2011 11:54:59 AM

@Peter we could ask a few people in JP. They have national insurance, some qualify for it free, others have to pay a premium for it. I have seen people mention medical bills so it isn't 100% covered.
by lillymunster 9/12/2011 11:55:03 AM

@Edano I would assume nobody in Belarus was going to take it up when it landed that guy in jail for 8 years.
by lillymunster 9/12/2011 11:57:04 AM

66 € for a whole body scan is not much.
www2.fz-juelich.deby Edano 9/12/2011 11:57:41 AM

@lillymunster but the scientific community is worldwide and andrej sacharow, for example, was in jail half his life but nevertheless a well known and well discussed researcher.
by Edano 9/12/2011 12:00:06 PM

@Peter
Ansprechpartner für
Terminvereinbarungen:
Helga Driesch
(02461) 61-6572
www2.fz-juelich.deby Edano 9/12/2011 12:01:52 PM

@Peter i just called Helga Driesch, the whole body scan is for everyone without prescription, but you have to pay cash. !!!
by Edano 9/12/2011 12:04:59 PM

@kalelovil Yikes!
by lillymunster 9/12/2011 12:12:50 PM

One dead, three injured in French nuclear blast. MOX fuel production facility. No reactors.
by elainekirk 9/12/2011 12:14:22 PM

impossible, in france there is no risk of nuclear accidents and contamination.
by Edano 9/12/2011 12:14:44 PM

@Peter
"Noch zu Zeiten des kalten Krieges geplant und realisiert, war der Ganzkörperzähler mit einem Raumkonzept ausgelegt, das auch für einen größeren Ansturm von Personen mit Inkorporationsverdacht ausgelegt war. Es waren separate Räume zur Dekontamination, ein Arztzimmer, ein Zimmer für einen Physiker und verschiedene Laborräume in dieser Abteilung vorhanden. Solche Szenarien sind glücklicherweise bislang nicht eingetreten und die Räume sind einer den aktuellen Bedürfnissen angepassten Nutzung zugeführt worden. Das ursprüngliche Raumkonzept wäre jedoch leicht wiederherzustellen. Nach wie vor ist der Ganzkörperzähler ein elementarer Bestandteil der Strahlenschutzüberwachung im niedersächsischen und westfälischen Raum."
www.klinikum.uni-muenster.deby Edano 9/12/2011 12:17:29 PM

@Peter
Ganzkörperzähler Strahlenbelastungs-Test für Japan-RückkehrerWer von Japan nach Deutschland zurückkehrt und sich Gewissheit verschaffen will, kann sich in einem sogenannten Ganzkörperzähler auf radioaktive Strahlenbelastung untersuchen lassen.
www.bild.deby Edano 9/12/2011 12:20:44 PM