@ Sinthia Domina - I think to some degree it's politics, though mainly to prevent a panic in the stock markets.
by Hank Scorpio 3/26/2011 8:55:40 AM
@Jojo - It's a Japanese thing. They beat around the bush and say things indirectly.
by Hank Scorpio 3/26/2011 8:56:06 AM
@Sin They need to evacuate these people. They are getting massively irradiated. They need to get the military and put them away from the radiation. Young kids are especially prone to getting FATAL cancer from radiation, much more so than adults.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 8:56:22 AM
@Sin I don't know what it is, I think the gov't, is afraid of panic, or is kowtowing to TEPCO, or is just incompetent/stubborn. It's literally killing people every day they don't act.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 8:57:36 AM
Ah, I see you missed the official news. Japan, in her overcautiousness tested a large number of adults and children who were presiding within the 20km zone. Amazing, the results were completely clean. Not one child or adult showed increased levels of iodine in the thyroid. Thank you for tuning in to Radio Japan. /sarcasm off
by Bev 3/26/2011 8:57:46 AM
I have done a lot of research on radiation lately. I was in healthcare for awhile....I know exactly what will happen.
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 8:57:55 AM
I did read that...but in that their no immediate concern is that it will be years before the thyroid cancers and the heart problems crop up.
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 8:59:00 AM
@Hank Scorpio And why force the 20 km evacuation and not further? There are little babies that are getting irradiated every day, for what?
by Jojo 3/26/2011 8:59:13 AM
@Jojo Please be careful not to state your opinions as facts. None of us are experts or have access to firsthand information as to what is going on. That is why we are here right?
by borrrden 3/26/2011 8:59:41 AM
@Sin You're right. Most of these cancers will happen years from now, maybe NPR will do a story on it and that's it. But what is the point of the Japanese gov't. to make them suffer? Sentence people to a painful cancer death to save a few points of the Nikkei for a few days?
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:00:30 AM
@Jojo - They will force it later. They "suggest" it first to get those who are on the fence about leaving to leave. Then they announce it and send in a massive evacuation force to get the rest. I think they believe it will be more orderly that way.
by Hank Scorpio 3/26/2011 9:00:37 AM
and these people will all be dispersed so no way to prove it was contamination, just like the IAEA says only 4000 people have or will ever die from Chernobl.
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 9:00:45 AM
I, for one, would go for evacuation ASAP. But are the roads in good enough shape so as not to stall massive turnover of traffic? Do they have adequately shielded vehicles for the elderly and the children and women? Are the receiving places adequately prepped to receive these thousands upon thousands of displaced people? Perhaps, for all we know, it's not as simple as pressing the scram button. The bigger sin might be biting off more than we could chew.
by Albert Lee in Manila 3/26/2011 9:00:46 AM
Those are good points Albert, and many are elderly or bed ridden and cannot voluntarily leave.
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 9:01:49 AM
NEWS ADVISORY: Lighting restored in control room for Fukushima plant No. 2 reactorNote
by NHK Listener 3/26/2011 9:01:50 AM
@borrrden We have access to the radiation data, and we have access to the EPA and estimated fatal cancer risks for exposure to each element. www.epa.gov It's simple arithmetic.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:02:06 AM
@Jojo It is not just simple arithmetic, it is complicated by an unimaginable number of factors. Not the least of which is those levels are never the same for more than a few minutes.
by borrrden 3/26/2011 9:02:57 AM
@Hank Scorpio And let days pass while everyone drinks irradiated water? They haven't evacuated Iitate Village, just asked them not to eat spinach.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:03:10 AM
@Sinthia Domina - Did you know the Soviets estimated 40K dead eventually and the IAEA had a shit fit?
by Hank Scorpio 3/26/2011 9:03:19 AM
@borrrden Granted levels change, but the EPA link calculates the % chance of cancer fatality by exposure of each element. It has coefficients by isotope, ingestion, inhalation, soil, air, etc.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:04:23 AM
@Jojo - Again, it's a Japanese thing. Remember Hiroshima? Remember how it took two bombs to convince them? You have to understand their culture to understand that, to them, extending the zone is an admission of failure.
by Hank Scorpio 3/26/2011 9:04:26 AM
Sinthia, I simply don't believe the results of those "tests." In fact, I would put money on the report being a complete fabrication. I don't think they tested anyone at all. Everything was completely anonymous so there's no way to verify either the testing or the results. I'm not generally a conspiracy theorist, but the Japanese Government is quickly changing my mind in that regard. I don't believe one single thing they say. In fact, I think the truth can be reached by taking what the Japanese Government says and reversing it 100%.
by Bev 3/26/2011 9:04:58 AM
Yeah, and then the Russian physicist killed himself. A good documentary is called "Inside the Sarcophagus". It was only built to last for 30 years and the roof is caving in now.
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 9:05:57 AM
@Hank Scorpio You're probably right. I just hope they do it soon.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:06:05 AM
@Jojo - I do too. I hope that, since they're doing it anyway, they extend it to at least 50km and not just 30.
by Hank Scorpio 3/26/2011 9:06:56 AM
Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency Shows the number of people currently confirmed contaminated and the levels of contamination. www.nisa.meti.go.jp
by NHK Listener 3/26/2011 9:07:16 AM
@Sinthia Domina - I haven't seen that one. Have you seen Battle of Chernobyl?
by Hank Scorpio 3/26/2011 9:07:47 AM
Bev...well I would want to know more details about the testing...I know a lot is being suppressed but I try and remain objective.
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 9:07:53 AM
@Sinthia Domina And how do you know that it is being suppressed?
by borrrden 3/26/2011 9:08:30 AM
yes...I have watched every Chernobyl documentary I could find lately
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 9:08:51 AM
well because the media is downplaying the potential severity, and learning from how Governments and corpororation behave from histories examples. Do I know 100%? No...but then I have never seen an atom either, or God for that matter.
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 9:10:58 AM
For example, they calculate for ingestion, the coefficient is 0.000000000185 Bq/kg. So if the reading is 1110000, then multiplying them gives 0.00020535 fatalities/kg ingested. (1 out of 4869 people). 1 kg is about 10 servings, so figure 10 days of eating this and the EPA estimates that 1 out of 4869 will contract fatal cancer from this exposure.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:11:30 AM
@Hank Scorpio Absolutely.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:11:46 AM
Thanks, @Hank Scorpio. I'm with you 110%, so they can make that 55 kms. > ... I hope that, since they're doing it anyway, they > extend it to at least 50km and not just 30.
by Albert Lee in Manila 3/26/2011 9:12:22 AM
@Synthia There were no more details about the testing, that's the crux. It was an official announcement on Kyodo today by the Japanese Government that "all is well, we tested some people. There is no radiation danger here, move along people."
by Bev 3/26/2011 9:12:48 AM
They absolutely are suppressing this. Take the link about radiation dmage www.nisa.meti.go.jp they are cherry-picking the lowest numbers in the prefecture and completely ignoring the staggering ones.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:14:00 AM
I suppose that all of this that we think we know is just hypothesis and speculation and just what they want us to "know", but in bits and pieces intelligent people can figure out some semblance of truth, or the absence of it..
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 9:15:15 AM
Back to the EPA/spinach, the 1 out of 4869 is only for iodine. When you add in the Cesium, it's 1 in 808 people that will get fatal cancer from eating 1 kg of spinach. Figure .1 kg /day, after 10 days that will be 1 kg/1 in 808 people. In 100 days it will be 1 in 80 (assuming static radiation levels, but you get the point) that will get fatal cancer. And that isn't including radiation from water, soil, or air. Just spinach.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:16:15 AM
To get an idea of the IAEA's agenda, look at their official numbers from Chernobyl. 4k dead as a result. Compare that with Russia's own estimate of 40k. And I'm speaking as a proponent of nuclear energy. I just don't believe the IAEA can be trusted to police its own members.
by Bev 3/26/2011 9:16:33 AM
Thats what I had said earlier Bev
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 9:17:06 AM
@Bev Absolute.y 4000 is incredibly ridiculous. They have farms in UK that are still unfarmable because of elevated cesium.
by Jojo 3/26/2011 9:17:28 AM
@Bev - It's an odd day when we trust the Soviet government over a western agency. All governments lie.
by Hank Scorpio 3/26/2011 9:17:49 AM
@Sinthia Domina @Bev Nobody will ever know the true amount. A lot of the records were lost with the USSR breaking up.
by borrrden 3/26/2011 9:18:03 AM
go to IAEA and search on their site for Chernobyl and read their reports. They say that the increased cancers in the Ukraine can be attributed to alcohol consumption and depressed economic situations.
by Sinthia Domina 3/26/2011 9:19:27 AM
To give you an idea, there is an increased rate of cancer for airline pilots because they receive more cosmic radiation. Kids that get more xrays, uranium miners, x-ray technicians, etc. Even for small doses the chances inch up the more radiation you get. The numbers these people are getting are incredible, every day.