
I have read back a ways and see some good thoughts on timing of severe accident system and instrumentation responses. Also how the IAEA, NRC, DOE, NEI and others weigh in on investigations that will take place on the japanese incidents.
by dean 5/25/2011 1:55:45 PM

I believe and have seen from doing nulcear testing with the Japanese that any outside group will be inside Japan, dealing with getting data, trying to make assumptions on initial conditions with out being able to go into the plant to perform an in depth study to try and re-create what happened, etc. As a result all of the results will be skewed based on "initial condition assumptions", the times to fuel melt, slump, bottom head impingement and breach, fuel corium to the concrete etc. will differ wildly, and, I would be surprised if the GOJ and their nuclear regulators will allow a free run on anything.
by dean 5/25/2011 2:01:49 PM

I have found at looking at the chernoybl, TMI, and now fukushima accidents, no matter what the mechanisms are that takes a core to the onset of a severe accident, the timelines go extremely fast, milliseconds, to seconds to minutes for initial onset to fuel damage. Commerical big reactors are not very forgiving when the fuel is not provided with enough flow to remove heat or water to remain covered, it's like striking a match and timing how long it takes for the first signs of a flame to start.
by dean 5/25/2011 2:07:01 PM

This week at my work I've gone out of my way to ask my nuclear analysis friends one question,,, what's your take on fukushima accident,, ,they have all pretty much reponsed.. "classic boil-off, uncovering core and fuel melt"
by dean 5/25/2011 2:09:50 PM

I have found one severe accident report that in the best way is close to fukushima (excluding earthquake and flooding damage). I say this because they assume loss of critical decay heat remove and vessel water addition. the report is on the Browns Ferry Reactor incident where a cable tray fire occured and rendered them to a station blackout condition.. I reference it in my write up that has been posted on the web site..
by dean 5/25/2011 2:12:22 PM

no worry on typing skills Leth.. I make more than my share
by dean 5/25/2011 2:12:52 PM

one thing that I believe the BWR's have is they already are boiling, producing steam in the vessel so they are a ways down the road to full boil-off at the beginning of any severe accident.. a PWR is full of water
by dean 5/25/2011 2:14:31 PM

taking a break will return..
by dean 5/25/2011 2:14:41 PM

I wonder what the aftermath of shutting down all nuclear plants over a period of 1 month would be on society..
by dean 5/25/2011 2:30:46 PM

ok Nancy I will look at it..... @Edano.. good to see you,,, I think the world would survive
by dean 5/25/2011 2:39:32 PM

nancy .. I mean all over the world
by dean 5/25/2011 2:40:49 PM

or is it.. can't live with it.. can't live without it
by dean 5/25/2011 2:41:20 PM

Edano.. I've learned in my career to love analyses.. but, I need to see the assumptions they are based on first before I trust much,, and in the comments.. the operative is .. "MAY HAVE BEEN DAMAGED"..
by dean 5/25/2011 2:43:45 PM

ty Panser for your posts,,, you find the best stuff
by dean 5/25/2011 2:44:03 PM

oops.. your right..
by dean 5/25/2011 2:45:04 PM