Japan Earthquake | Page 2725

  • 96 fuel rods ? 48 ?
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:30:42 PM

  • no, a pellet has 1.1cm diameter.
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:33:02 PM

  • @Edano hmm. trying to remember where the assembly data for 1 would be? Assemblies, top and bottom racks, control rods, the control rod mechanics in the bottom of the RPV.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 12:33:40 PM

  • @lillymunster this is for #3 : www.oecd-nea.org , but #1 is smaller
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:34:26 PM

  • 400 fuel assemblies in #1 , ~size: 0.09 x 0.09 x 4 (m)
    400 x 4 x 0.09 x 0.09 = 13 m³ corium
    reactor vessel diameter = 5 m
    13 m³ / (pi x 2.5²) = 66 cm corium height in rpv at 100% damage + control rods
    is this correct ?
    by Edano at Friday, May 13, 2011 1:10:36 PM
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:36:13 PM

  • 13 m³ + control rods etc. ; maybe ~20m³ (cubic meters)
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:37:49 PM

  • funny, 66cm in my calculation equals the mysterious erosion depth.

    if the pedestal had the sime width as the rpv, the corium would pile up to a height of 66cm.
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:42:35 PM

  • Approx dimensions for the single sump in the elevation
    sump 2ft x 3.33 ft x 16.63 feet
    sump metric 609.6mm x 1014.98mm x 5068.82mm
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 12:44:10 PM

  • @lillymunster 5m diameter ? (it must be round)
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:45:55 PM

  • volume of pit

    sump 2ft x 3.33 ft x 16.63 feet
    sump metric 609.6mm x 1014.98mm x 5068.82mm


    .60966 x 1.01398 x 5.06882 =
    3.122 cu meters
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 12:47:53 PM

  • @Edano nope not round. Unit 1 shows one pit in drawing, photo of 5 shows pit beside the control rod machine.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 12:48:35 PM

  • If there are two pits we could assume equal and double the calculation. We could try to alternatively do a "round" moat type pit calculation and see if it changes anything.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 12:49:21 PM

  • 13 - 20 cu meters corium
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:49:48 PM

  • @Edano so if 1 pit, only 3.122 cu meters of space/volume, if two that is only 6.2 cu meters of volume. So on the smaller volume end only half could fall into the pit if 2 pits. If it is a round pit and the smaller end that might get caught up. If more on the larger end it would exceed the round pit I would guess.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 12:51:15 PM

  • but who knows how much of the corium evaporates ? (cs, i, etc)
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:51:49 PM

  • @Edano how much does gasses and vapors impact volume? Or do they? Most of the cesium went up in smoke or steam? Does hydrogen production impact volume or is it just a byproduct of the reaction that doesn't impact volume in a notable way?
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 12:53:57 PM

  • @lillymunster sure it reduces the volume, but i have no idea to what extent.
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:55:48 PM

  • And what about mass contribution of bottom of RV plus concrete eroded in CV?
    by estacion 12/1/2011 12:57:18 PM

  • @estacion maybe we could agree that the sum is ~ zero ?
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:58:11 PM

  • @Edano did you see from last night JMA denies that they reported an increase in leukemia? They clarified that they didn't report it and said they don't know right now if there is an increase.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 12:58:21 PM

  • @lillymunster ooops, no.
    by Edano 12/1/2011 12:58:54 PM

  • Repeating from last night. This is the program TEPCO says they used for their calculations:
    The utility used the Modular Accident Analysis Program developed by Fauske & Associates LLC, a subsidiary of U.S.-based Westinghouse Electric and a pioneer in computer models that analyze severe accidents at nuclear power plants.

    MAAP software page www.fauske.com
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:00:54 PM

  • @lillymunster Ionizing radiation induced leukemia is only noticeable after a few years of exposure. I don't understand why you've been discussing this in the context of the March 2011 nuclear accident. There can be no relation whatsoever. I thought Edano would be aware of this considering his academic expertise.
    by Pedro Jesus 12/1/2011 1:02:17 PM

  • @Edano We could, but it wouldn't very scientific way. I think it's hard to calculate the volume of corium, because it varies along time.
    by estacion 12/1/2011 1:03:23 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus It had been rumor, but someone quoted JMA. If JMA had actually found something it might be relevant. Most of the rumors have involved acute onset leukemias. Yes, I know leukemia usually has a longer time frame.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:06:03 PM

  • @estacion TEPCO likely could not calculate it in a much more detailed way. Even with a program they can't get an exact volume because they just do not know.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:07:19 PM

  • ...and pit will be not pit with enough time.
    by estacion 12/1/2011 1:09:30 PM

  • @lillymunster Well, rumours are rumours, but science is science. Maybe this read will help. www.cancer.org bloodjournal.hematologylibrary.org
    by Pedro Jesus 12/1/2011 1:10:04 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus rumors are rumors, if doctors and public health reporting starts saying something it might mean something. Since they have said no, it goes back to rumor status.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:14:03 PM

  • @lillymunster. Obviosly they (Tepco) don't, they have told to press numbers that are convenient to their agenda.
    by estacion 12/1/2011 1:14:55 PM

  • @estacion If there is sufficient volume of corium beyond the pit volume it could move laterally or if it did stay in place those pits go against the distance between the floor and end of base mat concrete
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:15:25 PM

  • @estacion right. What is the motivation behind TEPCO's statements, that is frequently more important than the statement.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:16:03 PM

  • @lillymunster I'm not saying that the reports of leukemia haven't increased. I'm only stating that according to our current knowledge of the process, this increase cannot be directly related to exposure from the Fukushima emissions. Perhaps the fact that people are being screened for exposure reflects on an increase in reported cases (as in early prognosis of existing cases not related to exposure from Fukushima radiation).
    by Pedro Jesus 12/1/2011 1:17:55 PM

  • The analysis done by the Institute of Applied Energy commissioned by the national government, 85% of fuel dropped to the Containment Vessel in Reactor 1, and 70% of fuel dropped to the Containment Vessels in Reactors 2 and 3. The researchers at the Institute pointed out the possibility of the damage to the stainless-steel shroud that surrounds the fuel core, and of the corium having eaten away the concrete floor of the Containment Vessel up to 2 meters deep. Because of that, they also said it was possible that the RPV got tilted. ex-skf.blogspot.com
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:22:05 PM

  • Has anybody read anything about the nuclear incident in Cofrentes NPP (Spain) last night? I'm trying to find news in English but cannot find anything anywhere.
    by Pedro Jesus 12/1/2011 1:22:25 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus right now nobody knows. Yes, increased patient concern causing more to go to a doctor could increase diagnosis. The telling detail would be the type of leukemia, if they are the acute quick onset type vs,. the typical long latency types. We have public health data through June but it will take a full year to have enough data to really show a trend or not. Even with that you still might get a jump due to more patients going to doctors out of worry. I would be more interested in finding year to year totals of the acute onset leukemias only but right now we don't have access to that level of detail. If we could find such it might show an increase or not.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:25:33 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus this just says offline for repairs for Cofrentes www.reuters.com
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:27:01 PM

  • This says incident in the turbine side:
    www.elpais.com

    The steam exhaust registered Cofrentes NPP (Valencia) has been produced by the rupture of the drain line control valve of the turbine, as reported by the office in a statement.

    These drainage lines, whose diameter is 2.5 inches, are being subjected to the surveillance program of erosion corrosion, under which was scheduled to replace the now broken leg during the next refueling outage. As a first step after the incident, the owner proceeded to power down to disengage the drive, isolate the main steam lines, allowing safe access for workers and so they may identify the source of the leak.

    The event, which has not alleged risk to humans or the environment has been classified as Level 0 on the International Nuclear Event Scale.

    The EU leader, Marga Sanz, called for the closure of the plant and said keep it open "is foolhardy." Commitment Rep. Juan Ponce demanded his retirement.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:28:33 PM

  • @lillymunster Thanks, the Portuguese news wasn't so precise, that's why I was asking.
    by Pedro Jesus 12/1/2011 1:30:21 PM

  • The fukushima ostriches are mostly still alive. Some were set free to forage for food and people have been leaving them food where they know them to be. Others going to the farm to feed them. www.facebook.com
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:39:21 PM

  • Found TEPCO's handout in JP for their corium melt estimates www.tepco.co.jp

    Will see if I can find an EN version or in lieu of that try to translate parts of this. It does have some useful graphics.
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:45:16 PM

  • TEPCO released new employee rad exposure data:
    We have sequentially submitted interim reports to Ministry of Health,
    Labor and Welfare on the following items when each reporting due date
    comes, and have made announcements.
    (a) Evaluation results of internal exposure dose from March to September
    (16,916 persons. Remaining 173 persons including 16 persons whose
    contact information was unknown will be evaluated hereafter.)*1
    (b) From (a), detailed evaluation*2 results of internal exposure dose for
    workers with the aggregate evaluation of internal and external
    exposure dose over 250mSv (6 persons)
    (c) From (a), evaluation results of internal exposure dose for workers
    with evaluation of internal exposure dose over 20mSv (351 persons,
    including 6 persons in (b))
    www.tepco.co.jp
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:50:16 PM

  • The internal exposure levels for workers there in march are horrible.

    over 250mSv internal = 5 TEPCO workers
    200-250 mSv internal = 1 TEPCO worker
    150-200 mSv internal = 1 TEPCO worker
    100-150 mSv internal = 5 TEPCO workers
    50-100 msv internal = 32 TEPCO, 42 contractors
    20-50 msv internal = 182 TEPCO, 78 contractors
    10-20 msv internal = 402 TEPCO, 263 contractors
    10 or less msv internal = 1026 TEPCO, 1761 contractors
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 1:58:29 PM

  • @lillymunster as to tepco's motivation for their latest "confession" and noda's newest remark about cold shutdown from today i repeat my earlier post:

    tepco and govj had a problem: with unknown status of corium, they could have never been able to announce a "cold shutdown", which is a prerequirement for lifting the evacuation zones. so they made an agreement and decided to invent a fantastic story about corium having eroded a tiny little bit into the concrete containment, but not over the steel barrier, and now it is stable. so by admitting a little bit damage to conctrete without fully breaking the containment they think they can cover up the entire truth and people will swallow it. problem solved. this is what i make of that story. they bought a bunch of "experts" and added some ridiculous details like "65cm" to make it sound realistic. how can they determine the depth without seeing it ?

    it is a lie, they probably know that the corium is already outside. compare tepco's statements with their previous, i linked to it yesterday. in may they admitted a meltdown, but entirely denied a vessel breach, although we all knew it better. it won't be different today. it is all about politics and pr, and probably the iaea sits on their back.
    by Edano 12/1/2011 2:07:19 PM

  • @Edano very true. so what happens when they get cameras and peek inside?
    by lillymunster 12/1/2011 2:11:37 PM

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