

Tropical Depression 03W (Three) Warning #02
Issued at 06/1500Z from http://www.usno.navy.mil/JTWC/
TC warning text-
www.usno.navy.mil
TC warning track-
www.usno.navy.mil
Sat image-
www.usno.navy.mil
My assessment….Looking good to cross the Philippines, land interaction here should significantly weaken the system, once crossing here though may have a chance to redevelop but significant redevelopment is not forecast nor modeled, if it were to occur Taiwan land mass should again act as blocking. Should it miss, it may have a chance to pass the STR, this could be very worrisome for the Japan situation, as it would most likely be influenced by steering winds that would push it towards a Japanese crossing. Again….I am NO meteorologist, I am definitely thinking will cross Philippines, models(both single run and ensemble) point to this so it can be said with relative confidence, longer term, the system will still need watching but it seems that it will never be a threat to the Japanese coastline with any strength.
