Japan Earthquake | Page 1131

  • Turn this ON!!!
    by Jim 5/12/2011 4:13:48 PM

  • You should be OK to post.
    by Markfm 5/12/2011 4:14:19 PM

  • @Lethbridgean I only got down to the www.msnbc.msn.com article, the Berkeley one and the scientificamerican one. Did you post any others?
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:14:31 PM

  • Let the distractions begin.....I'm out
    by Lethbridgean 5/12/2011 4:14:49 PM

  • Hey, did you put her up to it?
    by Jim 5/12/2011 4:16:36 PM

  • Not me.
    by Markfm 5/12/2011 4:17:23 PM

  • Why did I Get put in moderation, I had nothing to do with it.
    by Jim 5/12/2011 4:20:32 PM

  • Thanks @LM and @UKVal, I don't mind at all. Just wish I could talk with more technical authority. But the questions tend to be more synthetic, and I do know who to speak in an accessible way. But any techies who are willing to talk I will hook you up. Now, off to tatami land! See you in the morning. Mata.
    by bo 5/12/2011 4:20:50 PM

  • @Jim after last nights antics your on moderation over here. This was not one person's decision.
    by lillymunster 5/12/2011 4:21:03 PM

  • Well, at least CNN is running something about Fukushima. Low reactor water level may have caused fuel rods to melt edition.cnn.com
    by Panserbjorne9 5/12/2011 4:22:06 PM

  • @LM I agree that there is a dearth of good reproducable data all over, but I can't (and we shouldn't ) allow random, unsubstantiated data into the realm of serious discussion. Yesterday, someone posted radiation levels of 2 Rem/hour in Hawaii. Berkeleys data was consistent in rise and fall with Fuku accident, and it was relatively consistent with EPA radnet data. I really have no reason to doubt overall official data. Although some things they report are bogus, and often seen here in this forum as unlikely "outliers".
    by RBeaner 5/12/2011 4:22:30 PM

  • @RBeaner I totally agree.
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:24:02 PM

  • @RBeaner There are also other factors one can use to figure out if data is believable or not. If something doesn't match up and there is no valid argument for the validity of said data such as a new known factor etc. time to toss it out.
    by lillymunster 5/12/2011 4:24:16 PM

  • @RBeaner I completely agree and would argue that the 'outrageous' unsubstantiated stuff is wafting over from the anti nuke camp. That is why I am just as cautious. Extremes on both sides don't answer the right questions. I take everything with a grain of salt and sift through everything with an eye on the probable.
    by LM 5/12/2011 4:26:44 PM

  • @all The only thing that I have witnessed that could be considered a "Conspiracy", is TEPCO's and GOJ's tendency to understate the direness of the situation wherever "believable deniability" can be assured. I don't think they are Intentionally mis informing the public, but putting the safest face on it to avoid dissastrous panic and public response. This may be slightly due to Japonese culture, but every corp and gov does the same thing when dissaster strikes. Said the scorpion to the turtle??, it's in my nature, as they both drowned.
    by RBeaner 5/12/2011 4:30:27 PM

  • @lillymunster Exactly. I do that very often, being it with raw data or other less technical information. Double and treble check it with other sources. What we must bare in mind here is that all the readings we get from inside the plant come from TEPCO. If IAEA and JAIF trust their data, there is no reason for us not to. We can always compare TEPCO's data with outside sources regarding the trend of radiation levels to proof check if data is being tampered with or not. I have been doing that for a long time and haven't found a single piece of evidence that they are [tampering with information]. They even make it public every time they have to change something because the readings were compromised or calculations were flawed.
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:31:13 PM

  • @RBeaner Perhaps some measure of panic is called for in this situation.
    by Bobby1 5/12/2011 4:32:19 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus The main frustration I have is withholding data when I know they have it. Most of the odd data out of TEPCO seems to have been bad readings due to damage.
    by lillymunster 5/12/2011 4:32:40 PM

  • @Bobby1 On the other hand, perhaps not. We just don't know.
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:32:53 PM

  • @Bobby1 Panic is never called for, it benefits nothing.
    by lillymunster 5/12/2011 4:32:54 PM

  • @LM I used to work nuclear and just "knew" it was the perfect future, but I have realized as I aged, that lots of people are stupid and lots of people are irresponsible. Nuclear power is just too dangerous to be in the hands of the few "Humans" that are responsible for controlling it at any given time.
    by RBeaner 5/12/2011 4:33:11 PM

  • @lillymunster That annoys me as well.
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:33:27 PM

  • @lillymunster Is panic worse than being misinformed about health risks? who is to say?
    by Bobby1 5/12/2011 4:33:28 PM

  • @RBeaner It's common practice for governments to dispense the least amount of info possible. The problem is that we're only seeing a small piece of the big picture. I must admit they are seeing the big picture and don't want to let us in on it. Predictable.
    by LM 5/12/2011 4:33:51 PM

  • @Bobby1 I prefer to stay neutral on that one.
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:34:10 PM

  • and i'm not exactly sure that IAEA and JAIF 'trusting the data' is a point to, well, trust. Stands to reason a certain amount of partiality can be assumed.
    by Panserbjorne9 5/12/2011 4:35:08 PM

  • @Bobby1 Panic is an out of control emotion. One can deal with even a chaotic, dangerous or serious situation without losing control aka: panic
    by lillymunster 5/12/2011 4:35:27 PM

  • @RBeaner To be completely honest, before this incident I was ambivalent about nuclear. I've since decided that it's not worth the risks. But I also believe that our info shouldn't be flavored by ANY special interests.
    by LM 5/12/2011 4:36:04 PM

  • @LM I do see the big picture, what we don't have access to is the alternative scenarios. The problem in revealing that piece of information to the public is that the worst case scenarios, that might not even apply here, would generate panic. Panic in itself is never good. I can't say if it worse or better than remaining misinformed but it is bad for sure.
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:37:03 PM

  • @Bobby1 I think you and I had this discussion before. Not to belabor the point, but the people of northern Japan, and all the other fish eaters over there, need to have a healthy level of concern. I the US, a few might die as a result (long term) of this event, but the number pales in comparisson with car exhaust, climbing up windmills and shoveling snow off roofs this past winter in the northeast.
    by RBeaner 5/12/2011 4:37:22 PM

  • @lillymunster , for example I have not seen reactor data for the day of the quake. Tepco must have it.
    by Peter Melzer 5/12/2011 4:37:35 PM

  • @lillymunster If the true situation was disclosed, I don't think we would see huge mobs of mindless people destroying everything in their path. Instead, people would have a chance to change their behavior to reduce their risk. The only evidence I have seen of psychosis is with the governments involved.
    by Bobby1 5/12/2011 4:37:39 PM

  • @Panserbjorne9 Good point, but if TEPCO's data doesn't match the outside sources data (and you can't really hide radiation from the detectors) then we will know they have been tampering with it and someone out there will blow the whistle. It hasn't happened yet and we're 2 months into this already.
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:39:07 PM

  • I think one aspect above all others that tepco depend on is that assumptions/rumours/guesswork will abound that suits them they can then discredit the messenger and keep the majority thinking that anybody talking of nuclear risks is a nutcase.
    by elainekirk 5/12/2011 4:39:09 PM

  • @lillymunster I agree-people have dealt with very tough situations throughout history and have not paniced-in some cases the best of humanity came out-those should be studied so perhaps info can be given properly and honestly which allows people to see it from an internal locus of control-such as there are things they can do-everyone on the planet-is/will be affected-pulling together-etc-what do you all think?
    by anon 5/12/2011 4:39:12 PM

  • @RBeaner Your last sentence was nonsense. There is no evidence to say it is true.
    by Bobby1 5/12/2011 4:39:24 PM

  • @Bobby1 Are you implying this situation we are aware of is false?
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:40:03 PM

  • @RBeaner i don't want to belabor this point either, but this statement "car exhaust, climbing up windmills and shoveling snow off roofs this past winter in the northeast." seems irrational. climbing up windmills and shoveling snow off roofs is a personal choice to put yourself at risk. Being exposed to radiation that will lead to your death from another country is not a choice those people at risk of dying are making. apples and oranges.
    by Panserbjorne9 5/12/2011 4:40:42 PM

  • well, now that #1 is officially a worst case scenario since the beginning, who believes 2 and 3 are better ? i was accused being a conspirat(ional)ist on the reuters forum. ;)
    by Edano 5/12/2011 4:40:57 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus Comparing the radiation risk to snow shoveling is nonsense. The point is, we DON'T have reliable data. The worst case must be assumed.
    by Bobby1 5/12/2011 4:41:09 PM

  • This is going nowhere I am going to start modding there are places for debate but this is the techi newsy board
    by elainekirk 5/12/2011 4:41:55 PM

  • @elainekirk understood. thank you for the refocus. :)
    by Panserbjorne9 5/12/2011 4:42:16 PM

  • @Edano Richard Lahey said #2 was worst case when it happened. #3 is obviously the worst worst case.
    by Bobby1 5/12/2011 4:42:33 PM

  • @Pedro Jesus I see it too and agree they assume we'll panic, but they should at the minimum not hide or refuse to publish the hard data. The average citizen isn't punching numbers anyway. I think we all ultimately agree. We just want the facts.
    by LM 5/12/2011 4:42:59 PM

  • @Bobby1 The thing is WE don't know what the worst case scenario is. We only have speculation on it. We must focus on real data and real information and try to make something out of it. And inform people about it. That's all we can do.
    by Pedro Jesus 5/12/2011 4:43:35 PM

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